Friday, 23 April 2010

12 days out and what's the result?

Well, dare I make another prediction at this stage?
I have always thought the LIb Dems would get 100 seats, even before Clegg made his TV impact.
I have also though that the Conservatives would increase their numbers, but not enough to govern alone.

I now think that :
The Lib Dems will definitely increase their numbers over 100.
The Conservatives will gain but not enough to govern alone.
The Labour party will lose 100 seats AT A MINIMUM.


There will be a balanced parliament and the Tories will have the biggest number, but will have to govern as a minority or go into coalition.
Labour will seek to hold on to power with Lib Dem support.
But the Queen will commission Brown to see if he has the support in the Commons.
If he does not, then Cameron will be asked to be PM and see if he can govern.

But, this does not answer the question, who will the Lib Dems finally support?
I don't know frankly, nor does anyone, except maybe Nick Clegg.

The LDs want proportional representation and labour will agree that to hold on to power.
The Tories know that if they do not agree to that request, the Lib Dems will not support them and thus the Tories may be in the wilderness for another 5 years.
Do they want that? Does Cameron want to be Opp leader for 10 years? I think not - a deal will be in the making.

Answer: Hold a referendum on the voting system and see what the public want.

23 April

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