It's election day and maybe the day to change Britain's political scene.
Indeed, there will be at least 200 new MPs for sure, and possibly more.
On this day Tony Blair was born. He is now something of a persona non grata in the UK.
10 years PM and now not wanted. From rooster to feather duster so quickly. Cheers to tears in 10 years.
Some observations:
The Queen appears not to want to see anyone before 1pm Friday, just in case there is great indecision. She is not going to pushed into making a choice for PM. Remember she has over 50 years of dealing with PMs, from Churchill who was born in 1874. Some history and no fool this Queen.
The TV debates have made the real difference in this campaign. Cameron wanted them originally and now he can blame himself for giving Clegg so much airtime and popularity, not to mention changing the whole political landscape.
Clegg has been the star of the campaign.
Osborne - hardly seen.
Mandelson - looked oily and creepy and ought just fade away.
Miliband, D - good Foreign Secretary but still has big future ahead of him in EU or UN.
Cable - has been outshone by his leader and must be very jealous now. Star collapse.
Hague - also quiet during the campaign.
I think Cameron may just miss out or squeak in - I now predict 290-300 for Tories. Any less than 290 and he will be in canoe up the creek and devastated.
Labour needs at least 250 to have credibility. 200 to save humiliation. Under 200, its a seismic event that will destroy Labour for 20 years.
Lib Dems will get between 70-85. Any more and they will be key players.
Less than 80, same status but still key for parliamentary votes if Tories are minority government.
So many combinations. Such fun and excitement tonight.....
6 May
Thursday, 6 May 2010
Wednesday, 5 May 2010
18 hours to go
Well just 18 hours to the polls open for the most exciting election in recent UK history.
It looks like a hung parliament and I'm going for that with the Tories the biggest winner in seats and then labour second, and the LibDems with the balance of power.
Now how many the Tories have we know not.
How many the others have we know not.
So we know nothing, a la Manuel.
But there could be a late swing from undecided voters who may create a definite result.
Thus it will be a late night and late morning as the country watches to see if it is Brown still or Cameron who will be in Downing Street come the weekend.
I have no idea, but politics is exciting this time around and most people haven't a clue, not the pollsters, the media and least of all, the people standing for Parliament.
The Queen may have a busy Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
5 May
It looks like a hung parliament and I'm going for that with the Tories the biggest winner in seats and then labour second, and the LibDems with the balance of power.
Now how many the Tories have we know not.
How many the others have we know not.
So we know nothing, a la Manuel.
But there could be a late swing from undecided voters who may create a definite result.
Thus it will be a late night and late morning as the country watches to see if it is Brown still or Cameron who will be in Downing Street come the weekend.
I have no idea, but politics is exciting this time around and most people haven't a clue, not the pollsters, the media and least of all, the people standing for Parliament.
The Queen may have a busy Friday, Saturday and Sunday.
5 May
Monday, 3 May 2010
Cameron jumping the gun?
David Cameron has come out with what he will do once he becomes PM this weekend.
Wow, is he jumping ahead? The other two parties think so.
They may be plans for what he wants to do, but electors do not like to be told the winner BEFORE THEY HAVE VOTED. It's a no-no. So why not jump on him.
He can have plans and policies but it's how he couches it now that matters.
The Tories are now looking desperate as the day approaches and the polls show it may well be a hung parliament. The Tories do not want to lose for the fourth time in a row as that would mean 18 years in opposition just like Labour from 1979-1997. Cameron would be chucked out perhaps so it will be worrying for him. They need 300 minimum for him to be safe I think. Under that number and the party will not be forgiving.
Lib Dems now screaming a bit but Clegg still a rock star wherever he goes. Like Obama.
Brown, fighting hard in last days and now pleading for people to avoid the Tories.
It's panic time now for all of them. Who can hold their nerve between now and 7am Thursday.
3 May
Wow, is he jumping ahead? The other two parties think so.
They may be plans for what he wants to do, but electors do not like to be told the winner BEFORE THEY HAVE VOTED. It's a no-no. So why not jump on him.
He can have plans and policies but it's how he couches it now that matters.
The Tories are now looking desperate as the day approaches and the polls show it may well be a hung parliament. The Tories do not want to lose for the fourth time in a row as that would mean 18 years in opposition just like Labour from 1979-1997. Cameron would be chucked out perhaps so it will be worrying for him. They need 300 minimum for him to be safe I think. Under that number and the party will not be forgiving.
Lib Dems now screaming a bit but Clegg still a rock star wherever he goes. Like Obama.
Brown, fighting hard in last days and now pleading for people to avoid the Tories.
It's panic time now for all of them. Who can hold their nerve between now and 7am Thursday.
3 May
Saturday, 1 May 2010
Last dash to election day
There are now only five days to go to E day 2010.
Today The Guardian came out for the Lib Dems, the Times for the Conservatives.
No one for labour today, but probably The Mirror will later in the week as the lone supporter.
But you have to laugh at yesterday's poster launch by the labour party up north.
Who advised them that if you have childish posters in funny writing and loads of balloons, then wheel out some glum-looking cabinet ministers, you will rejuvenate your party?
What a joke. Balloons to revive an election campaign!!!!!
This has to be the most stupid, idiotic piece of electioneering I have ever witnessed. It shows the government is on the fast road to defeat and oblivion for years to come.
They even had Tony Blair visit a surgery for a blood pressure test. What was that for?
He ran past people, ran out and away in a car. About as bizarre and funny as a Road Runner cartoon.
The labour party has lost contact, is being ill advised and has hit the depths.
I still believe the LibDems will get 100 seats and Cameron will have the most, but maybe not enough to form his own government. If he is short by more than 20 then he will have to get support. If less than 20 he may well be called on by The Queen to form a minority government.
But who knows. No one has a clue as polls are so different. One had the Libs only one point behind Tories. That would give them 137 seats. More than double their present number.
It's all to go for these last five days and Cameron looks on the ball. Clegg still cool and gets applauded like a rock star. Brown looks tired, grumpy (no change) and stiff.
Can't wait for election night after 10pm.
1 May
Today The Guardian came out for the Lib Dems, the Times for the Conservatives.
No one for labour today, but probably The Mirror will later in the week as the lone supporter.
But you have to laugh at yesterday's poster launch by the labour party up north.
Who advised them that if you have childish posters in funny writing and loads of balloons, then wheel out some glum-looking cabinet ministers, you will rejuvenate your party?
What a joke. Balloons to revive an election campaign!!!!!
This has to be the most stupid, idiotic piece of electioneering I have ever witnessed. It shows the government is on the fast road to defeat and oblivion for years to come.
They even had Tony Blair visit a surgery for a blood pressure test. What was that for?
He ran past people, ran out and away in a car. About as bizarre and funny as a Road Runner cartoon.
The labour party has lost contact, is being ill advised and has hit the depths.
I still believe the LibDems will get 100 seats and Cameron will have the most, but maybe not enough to form his own government. If he is short by more than 20 then he will have to get support. If less than 20 he may well be called on by The Queen to form a minority government.
But who knows. No one has a clue as polls are so different. One had the Libs only one point behind Tories. That would give them 137 seats. More than double their present number.
It's all to go for these last five days and Cameron looks on the ball. Clegg still cool and gets applauded like a rock star. Brown looks tired, grumpy (no change) and stiff.
Can't wait for election night after 10pm.
1 May
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)