Thursday, 6 May 2010

E Day 2010 finally

It's election day and maybe the day to change Britain's political scene.
Indeed, there will be at least 200 new MPs for sure, and possibly more.

On this day Tony Blair was born. He is now something of a persona non grata in the UK.
10 years PM and now not wanted. From rooster to feather duster so quickly. Cheers to tears in 10 years.

Some observations:
The Queen appears not to want to see anyone before 1pm Friday, just in case there is great indecision. She is not going to pushed into making a choice for PM. Remember she has over 50 years of dealing with PMs, from Churchill who was born in 1874. Some history and no fool this Queen.

The TV debates have made the real difference in this campaign. Cameron wanted them originally and now he can blame himself for giving Clegg so much airtime and popularity, not to mention changing the whole political landscape.

Clegg has been the star of the campaign.

Osborne - hardly seen.
Mandelson - looked oily and creepy and ought just fade away.
Miliband, D - good Foreign Secretary but still has big future ahead of him in EU or UN.
Cable - has been outshone by his leader and must be very jealous now. Star collapse.
Hague - also quiet during the campaign.

I think Cameron may just miss out or squeak in - I now predict 290-300 for Tories. Any less than 290 and he will be in canoe up the creek and devastated.
Labour needs at least 250 to have credibility. 200 to save humiliation. Under 200, its a seismic event that will destroy Labour for 20 years.

Lib Dems will get between 70-85. Any more and they will be key players.
Less than 80, same status but still key for parliamentary votes if Tories are minority government.

So many combinations. Such fun and excitement tonight.....

6 May

No comments: